Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.762340 0.855559 0.956958 1.075649 1.211026 1.360915 1.539842
2025-02-09 0.619596 0.746536 0.895966 1.085720 1.321492 1.606385 1.979084
2025-02-16 0.538631 0.679841 0.854947 1.089752 1.398942 1.795724 2.349171
2025-02-23 0.486910 0.638290 0.834190 1.109005 1.488915 2.001950 2.758028
2025-03-02 0.430925 0.582735 0.786221 1.082595 1.509370 2.111120 3.040714
2025-03-09 0.401054 0.558112 0.775595 1.103644 1.594506 2.315538 3.480806
2025-03-16 0.366716 0.523166 0.746028 1.092663 1.629195 2.446529 3.822007
2025-03-23 0.343230 0.501225 0.732373 1.102514 1.694250 2.627792 4.261749
2025-03-30 0.316486 0.471814 0.704508 1.086931 1.716310 2.741165 4.600296
2025-04-06 0.295162 0.448684 0.683882 1.080092 1.750527 2.875998 4.989744
2025-04-13 0.267426 0.413295 0.641065 1.032946 1.712054 2.882464 5.147927
2025-04-20 0.255354 0.401802 0.635280 1.046390 1.777792 3.075603 5.673656
2025-04-27 0.244737 0.392148 0.632152 1.064814 1.855501 3.301152 6.297746
2025-05-04 0.232961 0.379699 0.623385 1.072579 1.914718 3.499207 6.895755
2025-05-11 0.221672 0.367153 0.613314 1.076766 1.967063 3.688845 7.501367
2025-05-18 0.213764 0.359790 0.611551 1.095742 2.049093 3.945094 8.285196
2025-05-25 0.199582 0.340405 0.586991 1.069686 2.039835 4.015009 8.664877
2025-06-01 0.193434 0.334895 0.586982 1.090454 2.126375 4.292896 9.560854
2025-06-08 0.183347 0.321541 0.571552 1.079619 2.146496 4.430678 10.144666
2025-06-15 0.176762 0.314171 0.566714 1.089339 2.210537 4.671224 11.015378
2025-06-22 0.167480 0.301161 0.550244 1.073964 2.218817 4.786879 11.587457
2025-06-29 0.159912 0.290926 0.538428 1.067217 2.245316 4.947190 12.300360
2025-07-06 0.148277 0.272202 0.508826 1.020696 2.178112 4.878999 12.389191